NBA Finals Betting Preview
Adam Ronis previews the NBA Finals and gives you his best bet on who will win, in how many games, and who might be the NBA Finals MVP
The NBA finals get underway tonight with the Los Angeles Lakers taking on the surprising Miami Heat. The Lakers were one of the favorites to get here, while the Heat have made a surprising run. They were the fifth seed in the Eastern Conference and went 12-3 in the playoffs, beating the Pacers, No. 1 seed Bucks and the Celtics.
The Lakers opened as -440 favorites, but it's down to -350 with the Heat at +280. Both teams haven't been in trouble in the postseason. The Lakers dropped Game 1 against the Trail Blazers and Rockets and never trailed in a series again. The Heat haven't trailed a series at all.
The Heat trailed against the Celtics for a good portion of the Eastern Conference Finals but came through often in clutch spots in the fourth quarter. They play excellent defense and can shoot the three. Bam Adebayo has been the Heat's best player, Jimmy Butler hasn't been scoring a lot, but he comes through when needed and Goran Dragic is on a great run, leading the Heat in scoring in the postseason. The Heat have better depth with Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Jae Crowder and Andre Iguodala.
The Lakers have the two best players in the series with LeBron James and Anthony Davis. The supporting cast alternates games of who steps up between Rajon Rondo, Dwight Howard, Alex Caruso, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Danny Green.
The teams met twice in the regular season, but it was a while ago. The Lakers won 95-80 on Nov. 8 and 113-100 on Dec. 13. The Heat are a completely different team since then. Davis scored 26 points and 33 points and 10 rebounds in the other.
If you have been riding the Heat, you have made money. They are 12-3 straight up in the playoffs and 12-3 ATS. The Lakers are also 12-3 in the playoffs and 9-5-1 ATS. The Heat are a tough team mentally and well-coached. They won't be an easy out for the Lakers.
This will be a competitive series. The Heat will compete and have a shot to win. Getting the Heat to win the series at anywhere around +280 is good value. Still, the Lakers have the edge. My pick is the Lakers in 7. The Lakers to win in seven games is +500 on the DraftKings Sportsbook.
As for MVP, if the Lakers win it has to be LeBron James or Anthony Davis. James is -155 to win the MVP on DK, while Davis is at +250. If you believe the Heat will win, they have several players that could be MVP at good odds. Adebayo and Butler are +900, Dragic is +3000 and long shot Herro is +3500.