PGA Best Bets: The American Express
Drew Phelps brings you his Best Bets for this weekend's American Express tournament featuring Peter Malnati, Sepp Straka, Doc Redman & Adam Hadwin.
Malnati turned some heads after firing an opening-round 62 to be the first-round leader at the Sony Open. While he settled for a Top 15 finish, he stayed in contention because of his putting which has been his moneymaker since joining the PGA Tour. This was not just a one-off performance for Malnati as he scored back-to-back Top 5 finishes at the Sanderson Farms and the Shiners in early October. While he missed the cut at this event last year, I believe that his experience will be valuable heading into this week’s event.
Pick: Peter Malnati to finish Top 20 (+400)
Straka made a few appearances in my playbook last season but I have a feeling you will see a lot more of him in 2021. He has made eight of his last nine cuts coming into this week with a Top 5 and a Top 15 finish over that period of time. Straka also finished Top 5 at the American Express last season finishing at 20 under par for the week. A Top 25 finish last week at the Sony Open where he finished 5th in Strokes Gained: Approach (one of my key stats every week). I think he’s a good bet to Top 10 or Top 20.
Pick: Sepp Straka to finish Top 10 (+900)
You’ve seen Doc grace the pages of my DFS PGA Playbook a number of times over the last couple of seasons. He is a terrific up and coming golfer with a bright future. I really feel like this could be his break out season on the PGA Tour. I love these odds for Redman especially seeing the talent pool of this week’s event. He finished Top 30 at this event in 2020 and has finished Top 5 in three of his last eight starts. This will be the week to bet on the longshots and I’ll explain why more in my playbook coming out on Wednesday morning.
Pick: Doc Redman to finish Top 10 (+1200)
Here is my horse of a course play for my Best Bets. While Hadwin did not get to participate last year because of the birth of his first child, he’s owned this place over the last five years. Since 2016, he’s finished T-6th, 2nd, T-3rd, & T-2nd at this event. While the better odds are to finish Top 5, I think he’s even safe to bet to finish Top 10. I know he did not finish 2020 on the best note but what better way to get yourself back on track than playing a course you know you own.