Wager Alarm CFB Best Bets: Week 0
Dan Servodidio takes us through the Week 0 Main Slate of college football action and identifies the best bets of the day for Wager Alarm.
The 2019 College Football season is finally upon us and it all gets kicked off with a two-game slate on Saturday in what’s being called Week 0. Throughout the CFB season, we’ll be offering up picks and betting tips for the games, point spreads and totals you should be placing your money on. Let’s waste no time and dive right in to this weekend’s matchups!
Florida and Miami get us started at 7 pm ET with an in-state rivalry game at a neutral site in Orlando, FL. The Gators, who are the nation’s 8th-ranked team, enter as 7.5-point favorites with an O/U of 46 total points. Then we wrap things up with Arizona traveling to Hawaii for a 10:30 pm ET kickoff. The Wildcats are 11-point road favorites with an O/U of 74 total points. All these odds are taken from Bovada’s sportsbook as of Friday evening.
Who should you be picking against the spread? Which totals are worth taking the over or under? Let’s take a deeper look!
Hawaii (+11) vs. Arizona
Both teams in this matchup boast high-powered offenses and below-average defenses - meaning we’ll see tons of scoring. This could put the 74 O/U in jeopardy, but the best bet lies in the home Hawaii squad keeping it tight throughout. It’s very possible we see both offenses trade touchdowns back-and-forth all night and it could wind up being a one-possession game once the final whistle sounds. The Rainbow Warriors’ offense averaged 30.8 points per game last season and put up at least 42 points in five of their first six games a year ago. Outside of John Ursua (last year’s leading receiver), the Hawaii attack returns the majority of its starting offense and its a group that seems very comfortable in the pass-first, spread scheme that gave opposing defenses trouble in 2018. Arizona’s offense is also very impressive - but we can’t ignore the home-field advantage that Hawaii has with this game being played in Honolulu, a far travel for any team in the other 49 states.
Florida (-7.5) vs. Miami
This game should be ultra-competitive as these teams have a rivalry dating a while back, but one that’s been dormant since 2013. In the renewed version this weekend, though, Florida should easily come out victorious. Miami will be starting redshirt freshman Jarren Williams at quarterback in what will be his first collegiate start - and what an introduction having to face a ferocious Florida defense. The Gators return eight starters on a defense that ranked 28th in the country a year ago, including one of the nation’s top cornerback duos in C.J. Henderson and Marco Wilson. That secondary pairing could have a field day with Williams under center. Plus, Florida may boast the most explosive offensive player in this game as slotback Ladarius Toney will be used all over field - think Percy Harvin from years past. It’s very possible the Florida defense will cause a ton of issues for Miami’s offense and we may see Williams get replaced under center at some point with either N’Kosi Perry (last year’s starter) or Tate Martell (the Ohio State transfer).