The AFC Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs brings us a rematch of playoffs past with the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Buffalo Bills. It had been an up and down season for both teams yet, in the end, the Chiefs won the AFC West and the Bills won the AFC East crowns. They now battle to see who will move on to the AFC Championship game with a chance to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. Who will win the matchup between Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen this go around? Lets find out! 

NFL AFC Divisional Round Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills

  • Spread: Bills -2.5
  • Total: 45.5

This, to me, is the featured presentation as two AFC heavyweights trade hatmakers with each other for the seventh time in the last four seasons. We can look at the Bills winning the last three, but we can also look at the road team winning each time over the last four. I think people are putting too much stock into this being Patrick Mahomes’ first road playoff game. Sure, the Bills fans can be loud, but the weather is all comparable and it doesn’t even appear to be a factor, based on forecasts. I think Mahomes and the Chiefs take advantage of all these injuries on the Bills defense. Their linebackers and secondary are all sorts of banged-up and while Rasul Douglas is expected to return, I don’t think it will be enough. Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce will be featured, but the Chiefs other pass-catchers are going to be running around out there like little mice and that’s going to make it tough for the Bills. Offensively, they’re great and I expect Josh Allen and James Cook to have strong games. But I think this one stays close throughout and, in the end, the Chiefs move on. 

Game Pick: Chiefs +2.5 (+100)

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